David Benavidez vs. David Morrell Jr. fight prediction, odds, undercard, start time, preview, where to watch

Saul “Canelo” Alvarez’s refusal to face his top two challengers while undisputed super middleweight champion forced those two men, David Benavidez and David Morrell, into a high-stakes showdown this Saturday night. Benavidez and Morrell both moved to light heavyweight after failing to secure fights with Alvarez. Now, they meet with a potential shot at the undisputed light heavyweight championship on the line.

Benavidez (29-0, 24 KO) twice held the WBC super middleweight title and never lost the title in the ring. After winning the title the first time with a split decision over Ronald Gavril in 2017, he successfully defended the belt in their 2018 rematch. Later that year, it was reported that Benavidez tested positive for cocaine in a Voluntary Anti-Doping Agency drug test and was stripped of his title and handed a four-month suspension.

Benavidez would regain the title in his second fight after his suspension, stopping Anthony Dirrell in the ninth round of their title bout. He would never defend that title, failing to make weight for his first planned defense against Roamer Alexis Angulo and being stripped of the belt again.

More dominance of the division continued for Benavidez in the ring, including picking up the WBC interim title in 2022. Alvarez collected all four world titles at 168 pounds but repeatedly blew off any talk of facing Benavidez, the clear top contender for his championships.

As it became increasingly clear that a fight with one of boxing’s biggest stars was never going to come to fruition, Benavidez made the jump to 175 pounds where he again picked up a WBC interim title by defeating former world champ Oleksandr Gvozdyk. The fight with Gvozdyk proved a bit more difficult than expected, partially because of torn hand ligaments suffered prior to the bout and partially because Benavidez’s endurance seemed to fail him as the fight hit the later rounds.

“I’ve been working extremely hard. I told you all I was going to break David Morrell’s face and that’s exactly what I’m going to do on Saturday,” Benavidez said this week. “Everyone is gonna see a great fight. I’ve prepared extremely well for this fight. Don’t blink, because this fight is gonna end early.”

Morrell (11-0, 9 KO) also spent plenty of time as an Alvarez mandatory challenger and would have been seen as a very legitimate opponent for the Mexican superstar. Despite winning the WBA “regular” championship in just his fifth professional fight and making five consecutive defenses, Morrell was facing the same lack of interest from Alvarez and also made the jump to 175 pounds, defeating Radivoje Kalajdzic to win the “regular” title at the new weight.

Like Benavidez’s division-welcoming fight with Gvozdyk, Morrell struggled at times in his light heavyweight debut, taking a decision over Radivoje Kalajdzic in a fight that was much closer than the official scorecards indicated. Prior to that fight, only two of Morrell’s opponents had managed to last past the fourth round.

The prize that eluded both men at super middleweight — a fight with multiple world championships on the line — seems to be in reach now. The winner will become the obvious challenger for the winner of the rematch between undisputed light heavyweight champ Artur Beterbiev and Dmitry Bivol, which takes place on Feb. 22.

“I don’t care what he brings into the ring. They call him the monster, but I’m not worried about any of that. I have my team behind me and I’m ready,” Morrell said. “I’m 100% confident. I have Ronnie Shields in my corner and we had a great training camp in Texas. I feel great and I’m not worried about what anyone else is saying. I’m going to get the last word on Saturday.”

The undercard features some top names looking to splash once again. Look no further than the co-main event when Brandon Figueroa puts his WBC featherweight title on the line against Stephen Fulton Jr. The two met in an instant classic in 2021’s Fight of the Year where Fulton walked away with a contested majority decision. Now up a weight class where Figueroa has had more success, Fulton will need to find that same kind of fight if he wants to be a champion again. 

Plus, former junior welterweight champion Isaac Cruz is back in action when he takes on Angel Fierro. Cruz, who is best known for challenging Gervonta “Tank” Davis in 2021, is looking to get back in the win column after a stunning loss to Jose Valenzuela in August. Prior to that loss, Cruz ripped off four straight wins in impressive fashion. He knocked out Rolando “Rolly” Romero in emphatic fashion to claim the WBA title. 

Let’s take a closer look at the rest of the undercard with the latest odds before getting to a prediction and expert pick on the main event below.

Benavidez vs. Morrell fight card, odds

• David Benavidez -230 vs. David Morrell +180, light heavyweights
• Brandon Figueroa (c) -185 vs. Stephen Fulton +150, WBC featherweight title
• Isaac Cruz -900 vs. Angel Fierro +550, junior welterweights
• Jesus Ramos -2500 vs. Jeison Rosario +1100, junior middleweights
• Mirco Cuello -650 vs. Christian Olivo Barreda +450, featherweights
• Yoenli Hernandez -2500 vs. Angel Ruiz Astorga +1100, middleweights
• Kaipo Gallegos -600 vs. Leonardo Padilla +425, junior lightweights
• Jose Benavidez Jr. -1100 vs. Danny Rosenberger +650, middleweights
• Daniel Blancas -2000 vs. Juan Barajas +900, super middleweights
• Curmel Moton -4000 vs. Frank Zaldivar +1200, lightweights

Where to watch Benavidez vs. Morrell Jr. 

• Date: Feb. 1 | Start time: 8 p.m. ET (main card)
• Location: T-Mobile Arena — Las Vegas
• TV channel/stream: Amazon PPV ($79.99) and PPV.com

Prediction

This fight could well come down to which man has made the bigger adjustments to being at light heavyweight. As talented as both men are, there’s no getting around the fact that both were less than their usual stellar selves in their first fights at the weight. It is worth mentioning that neither man took a light touch in their 175-pound debuts but they just didn’t look as dominant as they had been for years at super middleweight.

Morrell has been a thudding puncher for most of his career, blasting out opponents with power that is only improved by having solid technique as an accomplished amateur. Benavidez’s style is a bit more raw, though it has always been effective and he’s clearly sharpened his tools as his career has progressed.

If the fight breaks down into a firefight, either man has the power to land a fight-ending shot. Morrell could look at Benavidez fading late in his most recent fight as a sign he needs to try to pick spots to push the pace and drag things into the later rounds to truly take over while Benavidez. That said, it would be surprising to see either man take a particularly safe approach in the fight and Benavidez’s higher level of professional experience should make him more comfortable in edging out the fight. Pick: David Benavidez via MD

Who wins David Benavidez vs. David Morrell, and which method of victory prop could bring a huge return? Join SportsLine here to see which bets you need to make for the fight, all from the accomplished veteran combat sports analyst who has consistently delivered winners.